Dividend Basis payout ratios, computed from filings

Charlie Munger

Over a long enough hold, your return converges on what the business earns on its capital.

MeasureFormula MedianMiddle half Reporting it
Return on capital employedOperating income ÷ (equity + total debt)10.1%5.6% – 16.7%444
Return on equityNet income ÷ shareholders’ equity11.7%6.3% – 20.4%537
Operating marginOperating income ÷ revenue15.0%6.0% – 24.7%516

Where each comes from

Return on capital employedThe 1994 talk states it as arithmetic rather than preference: “if the business earns 6% on capital over 40 years and you hold it for that 40 years, you’re not going to make much different than a 6% return — even if you originally buy it at a huge discount.” Return on capital is therefore the ceiling on a long hold, and the entry price only shifts the path to it.
Return on equityThe same argument read on equity, which is the version he and Buffett use when the business carries little debt.
Operating marginHis preference for “a great business at a fair price” over “a fair business at a great price” rests on whether the advantage persists, and margin is where persistence shows.

Source: A Lesson on Elementary Worldly Wisdom, USC 1994; Poor Charlie’s Almanack.

What this cannot tell you

Almost everything else he argues is qualitative — incentives, management quality, the psychology of misjudgement. None of it is in a filing, and nothing here attempts to score it.

This page describes a published method and applies its measures to filings. It is not a score, not a ranking and not a recommendation, and no page here aggregates these into a verdict. · All 11 metrics